Cover of Feb 2024 IM Report

Investment Monitor: Indonesia as an Emerging Hub for Critical Minerals and Electric Vehicles: Opportunities and Risks for Canada

Indonesia is emerging as a leader in nickel production and an electric vehicle (EV) hub for Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) economies. Canadian investors have been actively engaged in Indonesia’s nickel industry and will benefit from the development of the country’s EV production. Despite the opportunities, mining investors interested in setting up shop in Indonesia should be prepared to face a shifting policy environment and social protests over mining activities, alongside general market volatility, as demonstrated by the recent slump in global lithium prices.

Key Takeaways:

  1. Indonesia is a growing regional hub for electric vehicle (EV) production, embedded within the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) ecosystem and benefiting from abundant nickel resources. 
  2. Foreign direct investment (FDI) has picked up in Indonesia’s mining and EV sectors, leading to the development of business clusters that will reduce the cost of EV production. 
  3. However, Indonesia’s mining sector is impacted by global price volatility, protectionist policies, and nationalization. Indonesia is also embroiled in social conflicts over the environmental impact of mining, which may disrupt mining operations and the development of the EV sector.
  4. Canadian companies invested more than C$900M in Indonesia’s mining sector from 2003 to 2019. They are also significantly involved in nickel mining, with PT Vale Indonesia, a subsidiary of Vale Canada Limited, owning the largest nickel mine in the country. 
  5. Canada is expanding its footprint in the region by stationing Canada’s first Indo-Pacific Trade Representative, Paul Thoppil, in Jakarta and negotiating free trade agreements with Indonesia and ASEAN.

Anastasia Ufimtseva

Anastasia Ufimtseva is a Program Manager, Business Asia, at the Asia Pacific Foundation of Canada. She holds a PhD in Global Governance from the Balsillie School of International Affairs at Wilfrid Laurier University with a specialization in international political economy. Her dissertation examined Chinese foreign direct investment (FDI) in the Canadian and Russian oil and natural gas sectors and she has published widely on trade and investment relations between Asia and Canada, specifically on FDI, governance, and energy policy. Prior to joining APF Canada, Anastasia worked as a post-doctoral researcher at the Jack Austin Centre for Asia Pacific Business Studies at Simon Fraser University's Beedie School of Business.

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Charlotte Atkins

Charlotte Atkins is a former Project Specialist with the Asia Pacific Foundation of Canada's Business Asia team. She has a Masters in Political Science and Asian Studies from the University of Toronto, where her research focused on contentious politics in Asia. She has since expanded her research areas to include policy, trade, and investment between Canada and the Asia Pacific through her work at APF Canada.

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Pia Silvia Rozario

Pia Silvia Rozario is a Project Specialist, Women Entrepreneurship Strategy, Central Canada Office, at APF Canada. She is a recent Master of Public Policy graduate from the University of Calgary.

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Rachael Gurney

Rachael Gurney is a Research Scholar with the Asia Pacific Foundation of Canada’s Business Asia Pillar. She holds a bachelor's degree of Arts in Honours Political Science from the University of British Columbia. She previously worked at the Institute of Asian Research’s Centre for Japanese Research.

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